Grimy-Tongue
0xc823005e4384c590e9bdbb2e62851b69ee9f9ec7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$188.24
Total PnL
$-38.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
72 shares @ 28.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.53
$2.53
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.57
$-0.43
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
65 shares @ 23.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$15.33
$0.33
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 32.4¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.26
$2.26
- YES
US military draft authorized in 2026?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.50
$-1.50
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
10 shares @ 51.1¢·now 60.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.89
$0.89
- YES
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
17 shares @ 28.6¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.64
$0.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMajor U.S. bank bailout before 2027?$1.04May 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?$1.02May 13, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House Press Secretary say "Administration" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.03May 13, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House Press Secretary say "President" 30+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.02May 13, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?$1.02May 13, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05May 13, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.02May 13, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?$1.03May 13, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02May 13, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$1.03May 13, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 13, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02May 13, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$1.00May 13, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1.00May 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 13?$0.53May 13, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$1.04May 13, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military draft authorized in 2026?$14.00May 13, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military draft authorized in 2026?$1.00May 13, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 12, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 12, 11:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 14:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 17:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".