Gray-Conduct
0xc84fea5f86bdc1df1282ae3a7e1f17d1d08116e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$683.39
Total PnL
$-266.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?
100 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$100.00
$67.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?
50 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$50.00
$5.50
- NO
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 in May?
50 shares @ 48.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$48.88
$24.88
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
50 shares @ 75.6¢·now 86.3¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$43.15
$5.35
- NO
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
40 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$40.00
$6.40
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?
50 shares @ 64.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$39.25
$7.25
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
50 shares @ 71.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.00
$3.50
- YES
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
40 shares @ 83.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$38.98
$5.78
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.40
$0.20
- NO
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?
50 shares @ 51.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$34.25
$8.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.25May 11, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$3.22May 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?$16.55May 9, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?$7.65May 9, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?$2.29May 9, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYAWS service disrupted by June 30?$19.59May 9, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?$4.86May 9, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?$44.00May 9, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?$1.65May 9, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$10.80May 9, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$17.11May 9, 17:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $15.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 04:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".