False-Hop
0xc853b675bc673dc708d4b7e7c050efb486ee9d37
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$20.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.7K
$427.50
- NO
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.8K
$-427.50
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
479 shares @ 67.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$354.76
$33.56
- NO
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
187 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$157.68
$-0.93
- FIONA FERRO
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Fiona Ferro vs Danka Kovinic
140 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$124.60
$1.40
- NO
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
124 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$61.38
$1.86
- YES
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
26 shares @ 90.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$23.84
$0.37
- NO
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
8 shares @ 86.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.89
$-0.16
- NO
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
3612 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?
2115 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-761.40
Recent activity
- SPLITWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.5KMay 18, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYGP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Fiona Ferro vs Danka Kovinic$123.64May 18, 07:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?$208.58May 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?$305.68May 17, 20:58 UTC
- SPLITWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.0KMay 17, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$63.04May 17, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$77.00May 17, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?$824.59May 17, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$10.64May 17, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?$29.62May 17, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winner$22.08May 17, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$2.2KMay 17, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$104.15May 17, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$206.13May 17, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$209.83May 17, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$61.82May 17, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$206.22May 17, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$206.22May 17, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winner$18.44May 17, 09:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $202.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 21:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".