Brave-Menu
0xc8caa4b9d7b8d61c1eead1f6d7130c74f8e2960b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$7.9K
Total PnL
$475.85
Realised
$248.36
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
2000 shares @ 77.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$177.81
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
1000 shares @ 94.9¢·now 90.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$908.00
$-41.18
- YES
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?
888 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$878.72
$8.44
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
765 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$750.41
$5.85
- NO
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?
597 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$593.72
$-0.88
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
500 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 22, 2026$498.50
$13.07
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
500 shares @ 96.5¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 18, 2026$486.25
$3.92
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
500 shares @ 97.8¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$473.75
$-15.25
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
430 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$429.43
$26.12
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
320 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$320.41
$4.34
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$197.74May 17, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$190.00May 17, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$7.11May 17, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$13.48May 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$316.29May 17, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$486.13May 17, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$13.25May 17, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$33.83May 17, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$404.55May 17, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$489.54May 17, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$55.32May 17, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$562.89May 17, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$482.33May 17, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$13.45May 17, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$380.66May 17, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$310.75May 17, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$490.49May 17, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$19.92May 17, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$263.98May 17, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $192.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".