Sleepy-Disconnection
0xc96a71d464f16a5f7f948cb9d0d34a2f2409702c
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$250.40
Realised
$31.55
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
2329 shares @ 84.7¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$288.75
- NO
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
2261 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.2K
$12.56
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
192 shares @ 73.1¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$139.08
$-1.19
- NO
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$104.84
$4.84
- NO
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
105 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.87
$-0.73
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
63 shares @ 79.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.43
$9.43
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
56 shares @ 89.3¢·now 93.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.13
$2.13
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
43 shares @ 93.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.36
$2.36
- NO
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
35 shares @ 86.7¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.10
$-4.90
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.73
$0.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$12.04May 14, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELL5kt meteor strike in 2026?$11.94May 14, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$16.00May 13, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$16.08May 13, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$15.50May 10, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$5.92May 10, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELL5kt meteor strike in 2026?$5.88May 8, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELL5kt meteor strike in 2026?$3.68May 8, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$5.70May 7, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China Military clash before 2027?$10.00May 7, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 7, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?$5.05May 7, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$10.00May 1, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.26May 1, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?$10.00May 1, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$2.25May 1, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMAnother EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?$5.88May 1, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$10.28May 1, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill UK strike Iran by April 30?$10.70May 1, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?$31.95May 1, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $206.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".