Actual-Waiver
0xc973a6a43846cb427b89ae6b6f7715f3d59ebdab
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$289.22
Total PnL
$0.30
Realised
$11.07
Win rate
80%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- NO
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$13.30
$3.30
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 67.9¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$11.80
$-1.90
- NO
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
43 shares @ 13.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$11.09
$5.55
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
12 shares @ 82.8¢·now 83.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.07
$0.07
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
16 shares @ 63.5¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.04
$0.04
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
12 shares @ 82.3¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$7.69
$2.69
- NO
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$7.38
$-2.62
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
21 shares @ 37.5¢·now 32.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.94
$-1.06
- NO
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
9 shares @ 78.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.37
$-0.63
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$3.85May 18, 10:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$2.12May 17, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$5.45May 17, 07:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.59May 16, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$3.28May 16, 19:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.70May 15, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 15, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 15, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 15, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.14May 15, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.35May 15, 06:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?$4.22May 14, 18:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 15:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".