0xc978d79d951231917f3ac4673bb74f28e7bdaa84
0xc978d79d951231917f3ac4673bb74f28e7bdaa84
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$38.5K
Total PnL
$287.02
Realised
$25.33
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
15660 shares @ 87.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.0K
$1.2K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
8700 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.6K
$146.82
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
8228 shares @ 84.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.4K
$-557.48
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
1608 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.5K
$-21.18
- NO
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1445 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.4K
$33.94
- NO
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
902 shares @ 97.8¢·now 96.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$873.98
$-8.11
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
1635 shares @ 78.1¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$694.95
$-581.64
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
887 shares @ 74.1¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$656.11
$-0.90
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
578 shares @ 72.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$563.36
$147.33
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
792 shares @ 63.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$502.68
$3.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$498.72May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$389.46May 18, 02:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 18, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$2.5KMay 17, 03:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.77May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$185.61May 16, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$139.33May 16, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$24.59May 16, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$87.19May 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$10.45May 16, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$79.74May 16, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$7.92May 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$87.63May 16, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$9.88May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$304.48May 16, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$4.84May 16, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$147.80May 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$13.80May 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$168.60May 16, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$19.41May 16, 20:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $235.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 14:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".