Usable-Porcelain
0xc984e539bdd2699e2a0a28bcd995aaf439c337ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$32.6K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$232.81
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
8974 shares @ 73.7¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.4K
$745.71
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
5000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.6K
$125.00
- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
4063 shares @ 89.8¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.9K
$266.73
- NO
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
3373 shares @ 90.5¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.3K
$218.84
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
3475 shares @ 89.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.2K
$111.39
- NO
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?
3729 shares @ 76.6¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.0K
$182.64
- NO
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?
2110 shares @ 86.2¢·now 93.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.0K
$146.48
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
1460 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.4K
$162.79
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
1000 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$625.00
$5.00
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
759 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$595.60
$3.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$385.30May 18, 05:50 UTC
- REWARD$1.61May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$620.00May 17, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?$29.17May 17, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$1.3KMay 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$270.43May 16, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$33.48May 16, 04:32 UTC
- REWARD$3.39May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$305.33May 15, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$17.73May 15, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$0.90May 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$66.03May 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$4.2KMay 15, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$156.67May 15, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$201.81May 15, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$156.67May 15, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$68.39May 15, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$19.74May 15, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$74.20May 15, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$15.67May 15, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $180.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".