Nervous-Formula
0xc9db23c5d9f7b86628474bcb74539b92c3b56789
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$297.39
Realised
$-118.42
Win rate
55%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?
461 shares @ 37.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$357.62
$186.68
- NO
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
308 shares @ 60.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$263.33
$78.54
- MADISON KEYS
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa
376 shares @ 62.9¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$242.53
$6.03
- YES
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
176 shares @ 66.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$148.69
$32.23
- NO
Will Thien Ho advance from the CA-06 primary election?
126 shares @ 69.6¢·now 93.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$117.78
$29.74
- O 99.5
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
108 shares @ 59.9¢·now 51.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$54.89
$-9.59
- YES
Will Alavés be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
158 shares @ 1.5¢·now 31.3¢·exp May 30, 2026$49.27
$46.96
- NO
Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
55 shares @ 19.1¢·now 86.3¢·exp May 30, 2026$47.33
$36.88
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-03 House seat?
39 shares @ 67.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$34.31
$8.04
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?
43 shares @ 57.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$31.29
$6.69
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$21.57May 18, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kurt Kitayama finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.33May 18, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMInter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5$1.05May 18, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kurt Kitayama finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.45May 18, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMRed Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5$0.00May 18, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chris Gotterup finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$396.83May 18, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5$3.08May 18, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMAA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5$25.77May 18, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: New York Yankees (-2.5)$0.94May 18, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMMilwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5$7.81May 18, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-17?$16.91May 18, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMOlympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5$0.00May 18, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Si Woo Kim finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.45May 18, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.50May 18, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.03May 18, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?$319.27May 18, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?$0.00May 18, 01:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $29.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 22:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".