Stale-Armoire
0xca1f9b9d67d947c8007d9814e8f9d6045cccd282
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$49.85
Realised
$283.61
Win rate
68%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
210 shares @ 78.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$181.65
$17.15
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
278 shares @ 63.3¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$168.19
$-7.89
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
160 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$148.00
$10.40
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
140 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$129.50
$11.90
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
130 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$112.45
$0.65
- NO
Blue tsunami in 2026?
200 shares @ 51.9¢·now 56.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$112.00
$8.20
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 79.4¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$101.40
$6.10
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
100 shares @ 88.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$87.50
$-0.60
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
115 shares @ 79.2¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$85.76
$-5.43
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
110 shares @ 69.5¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$78.65
$2.15
Recent activity
- MERGEWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$8.00May 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.30May 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$5.12May 18, 08:16 UTC
- MERGEWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.00May 18, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$8.84May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.59May 18, 07:56 UTC
- CONVERSIONWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?$2.00May 18, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$4.10May 18, 07:51 UTC
- CONVERSIONWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?$8.00May 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$3.28May 18, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$7.58May 18, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$7.58May 18, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$1.65May 18, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$7.18May 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$7.18May 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2.60May 18, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$8.70May 18, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$8.66May 18, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$8.00May 18, 06:40 UTC
- MERGEWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.73May 18, 06:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $6.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".