Brilliant-Lookout
0xca24ed40e655a622ef29352e8c3850c1829a686b
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$195.30
Total PnL
$-779.91
Realised
$1.28
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.55
$-0.12
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.50
$-0.30
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.15
$16.48
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.15
$-0.52
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.05
$-0.62
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.65
$14.98
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.55
$-1.12
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.35
$9.68
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.05
$7.38
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.35
$6.68
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$635.45May 18, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$160.55May 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$795.20May 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.33May 18, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.50May 18, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.47May 18, 01:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $800 in May?$266.79May 17, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $800 in May?$12.00May 17, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $800 in May?$20.61May 17, 12:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?$600.00May 16, 19:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?$599.44May 15, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$198.18May 15, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$100.62May 15, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16?$299.40May 15, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$298.57May 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$279.00May 15, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16?$299.10May 15, 07:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $202.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 06:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".