Celebrated-Caffeine
0xcb6ffcd138ea263162d731c3daedf9e194d4f414
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$75.46
Total PnL
$-42.52
Realised
$-0.87
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 15.4¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$11.50
$9.40
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
61 shares @ 7.2¢·now 12.4¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$7.61
$3.18
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?
22 shares @ 39.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$6.90
$-1.78
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
104 shares @ 9.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$6.74
$-3.05
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
24 shares @ 39.5¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$6.61
$-2.88
- YES
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?
81 shares @ 14.7¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2027$6.49
$-5.41
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.88
$2.67
- NO
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 17, 2026$4.87
$1.67
- UP
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 18?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$3.94
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
5 shares @ 65.5¢·now 61.6¢·exp Jan 19, 2027$3.08
$-0.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Athletics (-1.5)$5.37May 18, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 18?$0.01May 18, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 18?$4.20May 18, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 18?$0.72May 18, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Lorient win on 2026-05-17?$5.00May 18, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on May 17?$2.66May 18, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$1.32May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons $2.65May 18, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$2.49May 18, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons $2.94May 18, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 17?$0.01May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17?$5.00May 17, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trabzonspor win on 2026-05-17?$5.00May 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 18?$2.53May 17, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 17?$5.00May 17, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$10.90May 17, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 18?$2.05May 17, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 18?$2.60May 17, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$10.72May 17, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$2.79May 17, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 01:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".