Back-Invention
0xcb958555ce5fe9b44f07049c57dc8632388a93f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
92
Open notional
$10.20
Total PnL
$-132.14
Realised
$0.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$1.90
$-0.10
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
22 shares @ 22.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.98
$-4.02
- YES
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90,000 on May 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?$0.09May 18, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?$1.64May 18, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?$2.23May 17, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?$0.01May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?$0.01May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?$0.02May 17, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.00May 17, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$5.05May 17, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$5.00May 17, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$5.13May 17, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$5.05May 17, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$3.14May 17, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$5.10May 17, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90,000 on May 19?$1.07May 17, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on May 18?$1.07May 17, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?$2.14May 17, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$0.00May 17, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$5.19May 17, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$5.10May 17, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 18?$1.07May 17, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 22:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".