Fitting-Volatility
0xcbac51ad9d50c9711eeec8992a7303b9a4caa309
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-128.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on April 16?
667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on April 16?
667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on April 17?
633 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 15?
625 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on April 16?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on April 18?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 16?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 20?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMMobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron MY by VIT vs RRQ Tora (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular Season$1.35Apr 26, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-25?$4.97Apr 26, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-24?$4.97Apr 26, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Dripmen vs 9INE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs$5.00Apr 26, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-04-25?$5.00Apr 26, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-04-24?$5.17Apr 26, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlton Athletic FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?$0.21Apr 25, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haras El Hodood SC vs. Wadi Degla SC end in a draw?$0.17Apr 25, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eyüpspor vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?$0.13Apr 24, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner$0.44Apr 24, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haras El Hodood SC vs. Wadi Degla SC end in a draw?$0.43Apr 24, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Middlesbrough FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?$1.10Apr 24, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?$1.50Apr 24, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Jablonec vs. FC Slovan Liberec end in a draw?$1.40Apr 24, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron MY by VIT vs RRQ Tora (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular Season$0.35Apr 24, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner$1.50Apr 24, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?$0.62Apr 24, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner$0.07Apr 24, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$1.52Apr 24, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".