Sophisticated-Condition
0xcbcb2f463b7dc927547667233690601fc23199cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$15.85
Total PnL
$-0.41
Realised
$0.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- CUSCO FC
Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)
18 shares @ 94.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$15.75
$-1.17
- YES
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
3 shares @ 5.4¢·now 3.4¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$0.10
$-0.06
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
1 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)$16.95May 20, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. US Avellino 1912: O/U 0.5$17.00May 20, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS Yacoub El Mansour vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 4.5$20.00May 20, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. US Avellino 1912: O/U 0.5$15.51May 12, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Yacoub El Mansour vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 4.5$19.03May 11, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?$62.82Mar 26, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?$10.19Mar 26, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?$74.50Mar 26, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$26.01Mar 26, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$24.30Mar 26, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$537.91Mar 26, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$696.97Mar 26, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$1.2KMar 26, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?$71.06Mar 26, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?$73.30Mar 26, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$768.06Mar 26, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$599.11Mar 26, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$1.4KMar 26, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$15.26Mar 26, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.57Mar 26, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $290.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 10:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 12:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".