Official-Lollipop
0xcbcf1b4487ce8553b8205439db04603bbeadba89
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-790.78
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
809 shares @ 67.8¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$275.11
$-273.89
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
476 shares @ 21.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$150.00
$50.00
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
289 shares @ 27.6¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
515 shares @ 16.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.55
$-17.25
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
528 shares @ 17.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$55.45
$-36.55
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.73
$2.73
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
235 shares @ 17.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.65
$-22.35
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
193 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.43
$-9.57
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
24 shares @ 63.8¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.09
$-3.03
- NO
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May?
12 shares @ 60.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$11.04
$3.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals$2.69May 17, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5$2.33May 17, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. New York Mets$2.64May 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals$2.33May 17, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5$2.64May 17, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nate and Cassie get divorced in Euphoria: Season 3?$6.14May 17, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$7.68May 16, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$8.53May 16, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner$3.87May 16, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5$4.90May 16, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?$9.22May 16, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner$9.72May 16, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$10.88May 16, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$1.58May 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$2.02May 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$2.27May 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$2.77May 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$4.31May 16, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$2.49May 16, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$3.33May 16, 11:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 11:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".