Optimistic-Amenity
0xcbdd9f67aa01dac5242462bad48fdfcbd593d38b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$262.60
Total PnL
$-238.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?
300 shares @ 45.8¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$169.63
$32.23
- NO
Will gas hit (Low) $4.00 by May 31?
64 shares @ 58.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$60.10
$22.90
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
50 shares @ 56.7¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.02
$-6.32
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
2700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.45
$4.05
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
111 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.39
$-1.61
- YES
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?
591 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
137 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
100 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
81 shares @ 63.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-51.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?$19.18May 15, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?$18.36May 15, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.62May 14, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$33.88May 14, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?$87.82May 12, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.00May 12, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.00May 12, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.00May 12, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.00May 12, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.00May 12, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.00May 12, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$92.15May 12, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 Week of May 4 2026?$0.00May 12, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 Week of May 4 2026?$0.00May 12, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?$0.00May 12, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of May 11 2026?$99.51May 12, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.70May 11, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of May 11 2026?$80.63May 11, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$40.52May 11, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$101.08May 11, 05:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $28.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 07:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".