Qualified-Blow
0xcc6cca2a76a08ddaae92cbee471101e879540573
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$63.29
Total PnL
$-32.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
158 shares @ 22.2¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.41
$-6.59
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
42 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$6.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.21
$-1.79
- YES
Will Tigres UANL win Liga MX?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.59
$-9.41
- YES
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
70 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?
73 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
26 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
20 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$7.18May 17, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLPeru General Election invalidated by June 30?$0.16May 16, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?$16.31May 16, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump insult MBS by May 15?$1.04May 10, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$3.28May 10, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$17.70May 10, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$10.22May 10, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$10.12May 10, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$5.19May 10, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$2.05May 7, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$10.18May 6, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$25.31May 5, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tigres UANL win Liga MX?$10.22May 5, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$5.15May 5, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$0.10May 4, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$0.67Apr 29, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$1.00Apr 23, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 22, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPeru General Election invalidated by June 30?$1.00Apr 21, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strasbourg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?$1.00Apr 20, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $11.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".