Agonizing-Ironclad
0xcc80d2fe211ec3308012f782577254b0e3772bc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$430.92
Total PnL
$-425.94
Realised
$-45.66
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
320 shares @ 46.9¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$136.00
$-14.10
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
600 shares @ 8.5¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$54.30
$3.30
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
300 shares @ 20.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$52.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
367 shares @ 6.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$40.34
$18.34
- NO
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
501 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$32.57
$-37.51
- YES
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
619 shares @ 14.5¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.70
$-59.98
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
1000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.51
$-6.83
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Eric Shmitt as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
2574 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.73
$12.81
- YES
Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
250 shares @ 4.6¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.88
$2.38
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
500 shares @ 4.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.75
$-14.25
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.72May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$11.50May 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$65.00May 17, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$10.91May 17, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.39May 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.40May 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.39May 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.59May 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.39May 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.59May 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.62May 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.64May 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.52May 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.63May 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.53May 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.30May 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.40May 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.62May 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.07May 17, 05:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 09:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".