Early-Shaw
0xcccc9b04dc40018e8d7be4a064c324992ac5d833
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
180
Open notional
$0.32
Total PnL
$-330.73
Realised
$-0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 180- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.32
$-0.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?
118 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
103 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-31?
73 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1AM ET
57 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.10
- YES
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?
43 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 Athletic Club?$1.23May 23, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Valencia CF 0 - 2 FC Barcelona?$1.54May 23, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Knicks$98.77May 22, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$80.06May 22, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$4.86May 22, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$3.07May 21, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$1.02May 21, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$1.02May 21, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$4.08May 21, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$30.29May 17, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$15.23May 17, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 0 Real Oviedo?$2.35May 14, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?$11.32May 13, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?$4.38May 12, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?$5.48May 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$2.84May 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-10?$15.29May 10, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10?$2.45May 10, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$3.98May 10, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Madrid CF?$1.03May 10, 18:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $8.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 19:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".