0xcd6c653ff9d56155a30a0c4b5bc67c69388271b2
0xcd6c653ff9d56155a30a0c4b5bc67c69388271b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$51.09
Total PnL
$-12.15
Realised
$17.02
Win rate
38%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- NO
Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
18 shares @ 6.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$17.64
$16.58
- NO
Will Stormers win?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$15.00
$13.95
- NO
Will Ismaïla Sarr score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 6.7¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.92
$0.91
- NO
Will Atalanta qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.83
$0.83
- NO
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.76
$0.75
- NO
Will Benfica qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.41
$0.40
- NO
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.22
$0.20
- NO
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
18 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.10
$-0.00
- NO
Will Al-Nassr win Saudi Professional League?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$1.07
$0.06
- NO
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.01
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Napoli place 2nd for the 2025-26 Serie A season?$0.91May 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al-Nassr win Saudi Professional League?$1.01May 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$0.92May 18, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$1.01May 18, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.74May 18, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?$1.01May 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atalanta qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?$1.00May 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.01May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.04May 18, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.04May 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$1.01May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Napoli place 2nd for the 2025-26 Serie A season?$0.10May 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ismaïla Sarr score the most goals in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?$1.01May 18, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.05May 18, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.01May 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.04May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.05May 18, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.04May 18, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$0.37May 18, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$0.73May 18, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 16:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".