Feisty-Hammock
0xcd75a4bcaf8945e62896d6de840926c7c111378e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$103.69
Total PnL
$-39.28
Realised
$-1.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
29 shares @ 86.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$25.58
$0.58
- YES
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
23 shares @ 65.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.93
$6.14
- NO
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?
30 shares @ 74.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$19.05
$-3.15
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.25
$1.25
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
450 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.97
$-0.42
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.45
$-0.15
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
15 shares @ 19.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.22
$3.37
- YES
Will a player representing Germany be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$4.00
$1.50
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 67.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.90
$-4.80
- YES
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 15.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$1.32
$0.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$6.81May 18, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$11.01May 18, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?$1.06May 18, 09:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Germany be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.50May 8, 04:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $9.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".