Thoughtful-Passage
0xcd95ebd0d0d099fa442b9730991f2b8be5d28c17
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$11.7K
Total PnL
$-69.9K
Realised
$-16.5K
Win rate
33%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
13775 shares @ 42.5¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.2K
$-1.7K
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
2500 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.4K
$18.58
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
2000 shares @ 34.7¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$900.00
$205.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
7750 shares @ 26.7¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$891.25
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
1010 shares @ 31.4¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$540.35
$222.79
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$496.50
$1.87
- NO
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
500 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$479.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
8310 shares @ 23.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$419.65
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
1000 shares @ 25.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$360.00
$110.00
- YES
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
3105 shares @ 16.4¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$223.53
$-285.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$19.08May 17, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$156.19May 17, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$337.08May 17, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$31.26May 17, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?$156.45May 16, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$24.00May 16, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$32.64May 16, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$24.00May 16, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$43.29May 16, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?$338.33May 16, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$2.2KMay 16, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$9.8KMay 16, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$35.04May 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$151.28May 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 7?$17.73May 7, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 8?$71.93May 7, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 8?$52.13May 7, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 8?$67.04May 7, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 7?$63.00May 7, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 7?$5.28May 7, 19:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $312.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 06:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".