Acceptable-Espalier
0xcdc06935534bf21d564cb2540cebbeed2ba447d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$25.88
Total PnL
$0.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.43
$0.43
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.85
$-1.65
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
2 shares @ 95.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- NO
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.55
$0.55
- NO
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$11.36May 12, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMGame 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?$4.43Apr 29, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?$4.59Apr 22, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Charles Radtke vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Main Card)$3.94Apr 18, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Esteban Ocon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?$4.50Apr 18, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Birmingham City FC win on 2026-02-15?$9.00Apr 18, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?$1.05Apr 18, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?$0.00Apr 18, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aral Şimşir record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$0.00Apr 18, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Charles Radtke vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Main Card)$4.08Apr 4, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esteban Ocon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?$4.59Apr 3, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aral Şimşir record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$0.00Mar 22, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Birmingham City FC win on 2026-02-15?$4.54Mar 18, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aral Şimşir record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$1.00Mar 17, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?$2.94Mar 15, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?$4.50Mar 15, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation by March 31?$1.05Mar 15, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation by December 31?$2.27Mar 15, 05:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 13, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 12, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $3.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 08:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".