Simplistic-Jellyfish
0xcdf82242c9984bd8d274085ab54165633c54b8ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$115.3K
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$846.01
Win rate
75%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
10000 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.9K
$97.22
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
9947 shares @ 95.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.8K
$310.83
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
9904 shares @ 94.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.8K
$392.60
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
10000 shares @ 91.4¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.3K
$190.77
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
10000 shares @ 90.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.3K
$189.37
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
10000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.1K
$550.00
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
10000 shares @ 87.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.0K
$303.02
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 91.6¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.8K
$-307.70
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10000 shares @ 93.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.8K
$-636.92
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
10000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$8.3K
$-48.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$200.00May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$240.50May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$809.99May 18, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$932.60May 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$819.18May 18, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.5KMay 18, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.1KMay 18, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China Military clash before 2027?$996.12May 18, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$4.3KMay 18, 03:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.92May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$36.45May 17, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$29.64May 17, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$29.64May 17, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$79.04May 17, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$6.92May 17, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$487.18May 17, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$98.80May 17, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$99.79May 17, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$24.70May 17, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$49.40May 17, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $306.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".