Royal-Dogwood
0xce0ceeb1d84a95e60a4a28ea19ed3efb58092945
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$10.5K
Total PnL
$563.99
Realised
$-3.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1867 shares @ 80.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.7K
$190.07
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
1651 shares @ 66.6¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.3K
$204.64
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
1176 shares @ 85.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$76.47
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
769 shares @ 78.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$734.85
$134.85
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
701 shares @ 58.1¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$521.88
$114.48
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1371 shares @ 36.5¢·now 35.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$488.63
$-11.37
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
507 shares @ 69.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$398.19
$48.19
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
494 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$397.53
$-2.47
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
370 shares @ 81.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$342.59
$42.59
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
492 shares @ 61.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$307.38
$7.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$73.37May 16, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$52.48May 16, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$60.96May 16, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$70.52May 16, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$200.00May 16, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$300.00May 16, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$100.00May 16, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$300.00May 16, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$512.70May 16, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$205.36May 16, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$302.28May 16, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$400.00May 16, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$300.00May 16, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$200.00May 16, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$300.00May 16, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.3KMay 16, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$104.82May 16, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$104.96May 16, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$2.0KMay 16, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$103.55May 13, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $292.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 17:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 13:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".