Bowed-Samovar
0xce63db5db28ae90f2bf48f81ab45439cb5bc0a6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$5.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
663 shares @ 94.4¢·now 95.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$634.75
$8.33
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1879 shares @ 2.3¢·now 6.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$124.97
$81.75
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
300 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$124.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
287 shares @ 41.2¢·now 35.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.29
$-15.95
- NO
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$51.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
90 shares @ 42.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$40.24
$2.26
- YES
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?
75 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$36.51
$-0.75
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
224 shares @ 9.2¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.14
$10.53
- YES
Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$23.50
$-26.50
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$21.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$126.00May 18, 08:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$200.00May 17, 11:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$100.00May 14, 20:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$38.94May 13, 15:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$100.00May 9, 18:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.23May 6, 13:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$193.77May 5, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $104.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".