Known-Waiting
0xcf2dbfb190ed9e299abc3f1a35ffed8657b1a1c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$74.13
Total PnL
$-214.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?
186 shares @ 26.9¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$39.01
$-10.99
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
74 shares @ 6.8¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.07
$1.07
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
152 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57 shares @ 8.7¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
96 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
47 shares @ 10.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.94
$-1.06
- NO
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
1148 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-57.00
- NO
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
432 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.96May 16, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$17.81May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$20.95May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$20.95May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$59.69May 16, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$44.13May 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$11.96May 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$1.74May 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$8.48May 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 300-400k people?$19.22May 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.54May 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$47.61May 16, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$20.94May 16, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$51.50May 16, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.30May 16, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.70May 16, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$3.13May 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$3.02May 16, 21:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $14.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".