Gruesome-Media
0xcfb502224876900f577704a19580ec67f0877d2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$30.9K
Total PnL
$-9.1K
Realised
$-1.9K
Win rate
60%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
16587 shares @ 64.1¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.4K
$808.87
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
5354 shares @ 42.5¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.4K
$1.1K
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
3491 shares @ 81.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.3K
$456.01
- NO
Kash Patel out by December 31?
9552 shares @ 24.8¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$826.64
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2246 shares @ 64.7¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.4K
$-26.40
- NO
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1699 shares @ 58.8¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$146.99
- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
1271 shares @ 59.6¢·now 72.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$922.79
$164.79
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1396 shares @ 17.9¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$897.15
$647.16
- NO
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
642 shares @ 83.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$622.47
$83.99
- YES
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
2678 shares @ 52.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$468.64
$-937.76
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$1.00May 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$2.00May 17, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$51.30May 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$102.60May 17, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$57.90May 17, 21:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$6.82May 16, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$8.40May 16, 15:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$40.78May 15, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$43.76May 15, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$14.10May 15, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$303.60May 15, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.95May 15, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?$17.44May 15, 18:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$30.24May 14, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$24.67May 14, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$51.05May 14, 18:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $72.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".