Oval-Darn
0xcfc2148ac1bcddb6fe49db599bafa199218aeeae
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$207.60
Total PnL
$-4.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 20?
100 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$99.95
$0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 20?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$49.92
$45.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$13.50
$8.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 21?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$13.25
$8.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$10.25
$5.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 21?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$4.75
$0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 21?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$3.25
$-1.30
- YES
Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.70
$-2.30
- YES
Will Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May?
10 shares @ 12.5¢·now 19.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.94
$0.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?
50 shares @ 9.1¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.65
$-2.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?$2.48May 20, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?$0.52May 20, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 21?$0.95May 20, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 21?$0.14May 20, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on May 21?$0.10May 20, 00:34 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 21?$50.00May 20, 00:34 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on May 21?$50.00May 20, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 20?$0.24May 19, 23:42 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 20?$50.00May 19, 23:41 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 20?$50.00May 19, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 20?$99.52May 19, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 20?$5.32May 19, 23:40 UTC
- CONVERSIONPrecipitation in Hong Kong in May?$10.00May 19, 00:04 UTC
- SPLITWill Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?$10.00May 19, 00:03 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?$10.00May 19, 00:03 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?$10.00May 19, 00:03 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?$10.00May 19, 00:02 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?$10.00May 19, 00:01 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?$10.00May 19, 00:01 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?$10.00May 19, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $7.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 13:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".