Chilly-Siding
0xcfde61eb95f05b384c96a021028c90c1d26f4006
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$185.85
Realised
$78.34
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Discord IPO before 2027?
440 shares @ 21.1¢·now 45.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$198.66
$105.90
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
190 shares @ 28.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$111.15
$56.93
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1260 shares @ 9.1¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$105.21
$-9.80
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
450 shares @ 12.7¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$82.13
$24.98
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
460 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$80.50
$-6.80
- NO
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
120 shares @ 61.7¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$77.40
$3.40
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
340 shares @ 19.1¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$64.60
$-0.40
- NO
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
87 shares @ 41.9¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$63.61
$27.35
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 42.7¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$45.60
$20.00
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
46 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$42.07
$-0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.00May 17, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLLedger IPO before 2027?$4.50May 17, 11:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$10.00May 16, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLLedger IPO before 2027?$43.50May 16, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLKurds declare independence from Iran?$14.65May 16, 13:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKurds declare independence from Iran?$27.52May 15, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$16.00May 15, 08:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKurds declare independence from Iran?$5.92May 14, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.08May 14, 13:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.38May 12, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?$2.83May 12, 19:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$8.80May 11, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.40May 11, 21:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $8.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 19:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".