Simple-Cap
0xd001533fab95beb03797e273700fc4f5cbbe3cea
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-530.29
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw?
780 shares @ 28.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$780.00
$560.82
- YES
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
634 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$634.00
$374.06
- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
647 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$559.65
$-9.71
- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
634 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$542.07
$22.19
- PORTSMOUTH FC
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
536 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$536.00
$134.00
- YES
Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?
1332 shares @ 14.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$506.16
$319.68
- NO
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?
454 shares @ 66.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$265.59
$-34.05
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
262 shares @ 34.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$83.84
$-5.24
- YES
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
275 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$39.88
$-12.38
- NO
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?
31 shares @ 62.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$31.00
$11.56
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$88.32Apr 21, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$190.19Apr 21, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$168.53Apr 21, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$4.25Apr 21, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$351.40Apr 13, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$25.89Apr 13, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$58.10Apr 13, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$25.70Apr 13, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$427.05Apr 13, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?$722.97Apr 13, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw?$219.18Apr 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?$35.70Apr 12, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?$297.78Apr 12, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$196.80Apr 12, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$11.68Apr 12, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$32.48Apr 12, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?$95.28Apr 12, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$200.20Apr 12, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$182.40Apr 12, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$4.68Apr 12, 10:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $181.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 13:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".