Careless-Preservation
0xd099799382c1161cc07b3c9a8c9118987d163a44
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$111.17
Total PnL
$-9.46
Realised
$2.70
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
13 shares @ 75.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$12.29
$2.29
- NO
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
13 shares @ 90.7¢·now 79.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.10
$-1.40
- NO
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
14 shares @ 84.7¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.99
$-2.01
- NO
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
11 shares @ 89.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.53
$0.03
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$9.30
$0.30
- NO
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
7 shares @ 89.8¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.51
$0.50
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 90.5¢·now 96.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 87.7¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.21
$-0.04
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 87.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.83
$-0.17
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$0.00May 15, 14:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$0.00May 14, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$0.00May 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$3.03May 14, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$3.37May 14, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$3.02May 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$3.06May 13, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$3.01May 13, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$2.20May 13, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$2.01May 13, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.09May 13, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.25May 13, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.02May 13, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.30May 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.02May 13, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $4.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 14:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".