Bogus-Misrepresentation
0xd0bf186c69a936395c84d6b45bbd39eadfcf9f9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$57.60
Total PnL
$27.44
Realised
$154.44
Win rate
94%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
400 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.40
$-1.00
- YES
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.80
$2.20
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
3080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.62
$-1.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk be 2nd richest person on December 31?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.90
$1.90
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
51 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Microsoft have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
60 shares @ 2.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.25
$1.05
- YES
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?
5 shares @ 20.5¢·now 42.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.14
$1.12
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.83
$-3.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$1.09May 18, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.08May 18, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.75May 18, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May?$0.24May 18, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$5.30May 15, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5.76May 15, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$1.68May 15, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$0.33May 15, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$0.41May 15, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$0.08May 15, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?$0.65May 15, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.09May 15, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$0.14May 15, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$0.21May 15, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$0.06May 15, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$8.00May 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$2.10May 15, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$0.04May 14, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$0.06May 14, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$0.05May 14, 21:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 18:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".