Variable-Good
0xd0bf9166bd0a939103bdd91f0f00d06a8118b759
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
82
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$1.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
200 shares @ 40.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.97
$32.98
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
100 shares @ 71.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$94.95
$23.95
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
78 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$73.20
$4.91
- NO
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
60 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.16
$2.76
- YES
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?
50 shares @ 35.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$41.00
$23.50
- NO
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
100 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$38.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$37.75
$12.75
- NO
OKX IPO in 2026?
40 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$35.80
$2.60
- NO
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
40 shares @ 87.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$31.20
$-3.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?$100.00May 17, 16:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$20.00May 16, 03:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?$1.74May 14, 04:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$20.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$20.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.23May 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$9.00May 9, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?$31.00May 9, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAWS service disrupted by June 30?$23.00May 9, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$30.00May 9, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$20.00May 9, 04:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $13.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 17:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".