Demanding-City
0xd12f443b6a45225ae65d519a4bdef568d29ce85a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$194.22
Realised
$123.64
Win rate
95%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- NO
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
376 shares @ 78.8¢·now 83.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$311.94
$15.87
- NO
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
191 shares @ 83.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$174.68
$15.15
- NO
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
117 shares @ 89.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.58
$1.08
- NO
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 0.75%?
103 shares @ 94.6¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$98.93
$1.52
- NO
Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?
107 shares @ 79.3¢·now 86.4¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$92.62
$7.63
- NO
Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader?
83 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$80.12
$0.12
- NO
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
85 shares @ 92.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.01
$0.26
- YES
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
160 shares @ 33.8¢·now 46.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$73.58
$19.48
- NO
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
77 shares @ 77.7¢·now 86.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$66.15
$6.35
- YES
Will Adrien Thomasson lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?
63 shares @ 94.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$62.71
$2.71
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$14.00May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$0.01May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$0.63May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$0.20May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$0.27May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$0.60May 18, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$0.80May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$0.90May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$25.00May 18, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?$42.86May 18, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.20 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?$668.00May 18, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.23May 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$1.76May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.75 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?$100.28May 17, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.20 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?$199.01May 17, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?$42.02May 17, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.20 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?$457.61May 17, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?$177.31May 17, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?$2.45May 17, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?$30.09May 17, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $87.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 23:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".