Elaborate-Walkway
0xd13f557754b667524d76717f0846da51939b16e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$179.52
Total PnL
$-33.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
93 shares @ 21.6¢·now 26.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.77
$4.77
- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
53 shares @ 9.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$11.68
$6.90
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
14 shares @ 59.2¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.38
$1.90
- NO
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
15 shares @ 60.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.19
$1.39
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 67.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.15
$1.02
- YES
Will there be at least 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
36 shares @ 27.5¢·now 27.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
431 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.90
$-4.60
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
455 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.32
$-0.68
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
16 shares @ 35.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.27
$3.72
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
265 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.13
$0.13
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$1.40May 15, 07:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "IRIS OUT" by Kenshi Yonezu (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$2.82May 14, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?$1.41May 14, 03:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$3.14May 12, 09:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?$4.48May 11, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$8.14May 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?$1.94May 11, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?$5.24May 11, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$5.24May 11, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?$1.10May 11, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$4.42May 11, 05:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3.28May 10, 21:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 18:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".