Bustling-Forecast
0xd20958361074d525e4351b0bf40c648fa7c08dba
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$87.21
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$32.81
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 20?
44 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$42.92
$0.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?
34 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 20, 2026$33.49
$1.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on May 20?
7 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp May 20, 2026$6.74
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 20?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.85
$0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 20?
189 shares @ 83.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.09
$-156.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?
40 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.06
$-7.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 20?
53 shares @ 90.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.05
$-48.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 5?
15168 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.17
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
5211 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-443.87
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
3326 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-110.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 20?$117.58May 20, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 20?$50.95May 20, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 20?$2.56May 20, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 20?$8.05May 20, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 20?$9.25May 20, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 20?$5.15May 20, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 20?$42.74May 20, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 20?$3.85May 20, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 20?$115.46May 20, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$32.43May 20, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on May 20?$6.85May 20, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 20?$132.78May 20, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 20?$20.99May 20, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 20?$16.66May 20, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$111.37May 20, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 20?$165.83May 20, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$48.47May 20, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?$59.65May 20, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 20?$74.84May 20, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$5.07May 20, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $52.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 04:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".