Fickle-Mission
0xd217902701331e8cb357c62f9bfcc95720aea747
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$282.12
Total PnL
$-11.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
23 shares @ 93.7¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$22.61
$0.61
- NO
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by June 30?
21 shares @ 97.2¢·now 96.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?
20 shares @ 93.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.73
$0.73
- NO
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?
19 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?
19 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Iraq recognize Israel by June 30?
17 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.29
$0.29
- NO
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?
16 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.52
$0.52
- NO
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30?
15 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?
16 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30?
16 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.10
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on May 16?$6.00May 16, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 16?$2.00May 16, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 16?$1.01May 16, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 16?$6.00May 16, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 16?$6.00May 16, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 16?$1.01May 16, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on May 16?$1.00May 16, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 16?$1.00May 16, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 16?$1.00May 16, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 16?$2.00May 16, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.00May 16, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.06May 16, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$2.44May 16, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?$3.00May 16, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$3.00May 16, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?$5.00May 15, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or higher on May 14?$2.01May 15, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 14?$3.01May 15, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on May 14?$3.01May 15, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 14?$3.01May 15, 19:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 11:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 19:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".