Sarcastic-Sulfur
0xd21a5ab00ecf176360eb72de2c38369e931c3bca
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$4.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
1050 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.0K
$10.51
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
131 shares @ 76.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$120.08
$20.08
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
75 shares @ 88.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$72.89
$6.89
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
32 shares @ 94.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.40
$-1.60
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
33 shares @ 76.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$27.63
$2.63
- YES
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
23 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$21.46
$0.46
- NO
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?
20 shares @ 91.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$18.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
23 shares @ 66.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will "Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
13 shares @ 74.6¢·now 72.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.65
$-0.35
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$18.06May 18, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$10.13May 18, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$25.24May 18, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.0KMay 18, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$18.32May 18, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?$9.94May 18, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMUK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?$21.69May 18, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.0KMay 18, 01:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$30.00May 14, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?$18.12May 14, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.0KMay 14, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.1KMay 14, 06:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.1KMay 11, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$100.95May 11, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$14.16May 11, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$15.00May 11, 13:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $132.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 02:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".