Muted-Stew
0xd221ca16813d577f1bd8ea592c84cdc21851a44b
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$-3.1K
Win rate
11%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?
3371 shares @ 10.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$353.92
$-10.07
- YES
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026?
1740 shares @ 12.6¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$234.88
$14.88
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
8095 shares @ 6.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$205.62
$-326.67
- YES
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?
2356 shares @ 6.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$176.67
$20.07
- YES
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?
1100 shares @ 13.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$175.98
$25.04
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
13029 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$58.63
$-470.21
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
18777 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-920.93
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
12731 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-172.88
- YES
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
10374 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-597.21
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
4784 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-401.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$57.00Apr 22, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$155.08Apr 22, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$61.76Apr 22, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?$55.00Apr 22, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$56.00Apr 22, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$101.14Apr 22, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$210.00Apr 22, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$122.58Apr 21, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$120.00Apr 21, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$190.74Apr 21, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$47.99Apr 15, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$37.00Apr 15, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$75.08Apr 13, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$210.89Apr 13, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$60.08Apr 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$30.98Apr 13, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$99.90Apr 13, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$68.00Apr 13, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$273.48Apr 13, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$134.14Apr 13, 10:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $107.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 04:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".