Aching-Grandma
0xd2391c34b74e347718894adcf3416120362b0230
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$6.9K
Total PnL
$-539.22
Realised
$50.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
1000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$914.99
$45.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
993 shares @ 78.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$838.69
$64.51
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
600 shares @ 82.3¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$574.50
$80.50
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
500 shares @ 95.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$482.50
$5.50
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
520 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$470.60
$28.60
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 71.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$462.50
$107.50
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
500 shares @ 75.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$462.50
$85.50
- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
971 shares @ 47.3¢·now 40.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$394.99
$-64.57
- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
332 shares @ 79.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$239.06
$-23.32
- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?
865 shares @ 38.5¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$237.79
$-95.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$920.00May 17, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$185.51May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$113.96May 16, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$177.54May 16, 20:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.20May 16, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.42May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.00May 15, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.00May 15, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$39.99May 15, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$40.00May 15, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?$40.00May 15, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$40.00May 15, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?$99.99May 15, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$100.00May 15, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?$100.00May 15, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.66May 15, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$23.47May 15, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$33.60May 15, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$30.80May 15, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?$44.83May 15, 02:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $83.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".