Absolute-Reply
0xd240c2a4fccabeb9f63163d84f9695817f59562c
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$26.15
Realised
$7.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 26?
721 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 26, 2026$718.95
$5.41
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C or below on May 26?
538 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 26, 2026$535.08
$1.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 25?
465 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$464.56
$2.19
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 26?
200 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$199.89
$1.70
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or below on May 27?
200 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 27, 2026$199.20
$2.20
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on May 26?
153 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 26, 2026$151.52
$0.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or below on May 27?
123 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 27, 2026$122.63
$0.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 26?
111 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 26, 2026$110.94
$0.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 26?
111 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 26, 2026$110.83
$0.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on May 27?
105 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 27, 2026$104.74
$0.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on May 21?$38.00May 25, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 20?$275.00May 25, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on May 25?$800.00May 25, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C or below on May 19?$0.00May 25, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 25?$1.0KMay 25, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or below on May 27?$22.79May 25, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or below on May 27?$99.20May 25, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on May 27?$99.40May 25, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on May 25?$99.20May 25, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on May 25?$99.20May 25, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on May 25?$297.60May 25, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on May 25?$297.60May 25, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 25?$7.19May 25, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C or below on May 26?$136.40May 25, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C or below on May 26?$396.80May 25, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 25?$84.32May 25, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on May 27?$4.96May 25, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on May 24?$5.51May 25, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 24?$110.78May 25, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 24?$105.25May 25, 05:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $173.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 01:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 15:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".