Disastrous-Thought
0xd28021317c1be36239e8d930dee7d6c3a40082b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$12.3K
Total PnL
$-155.98
Realised
$-67.08
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.9K
$2.9K
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 20?
1200 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.2K
$0.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 20?
901 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$900.55
$0.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 20?
501 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$500.50
$3.58
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 20?
468 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$467.51
$0.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 20?
455 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$454.77
$0.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 20?
348 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$347.82
$0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 20?
340 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$339.84
$0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 20?
318 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$317.62
$0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 20?
318 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$317.40
$0.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 20?$17.76May 20, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 20?$22.20May 20, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 20?$55.49May 20, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 20?$56.28May 20, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 20?$56.06May 20, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 20?$597.58May 20, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 20?$45.75May 20, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 20?$231.76May 20, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 20?$20.90May 20, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 20?$298.70May 20, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 20?$100.90May 20, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 20?$299.70May 20, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 20?$99.90May 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 20?$299.70May 20, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 20?$261.78May 20, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 20?$339.69May 20, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 20?$67.68May 20, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 20?$399.57May 20, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 20?$394.56May 20, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 20?$37.92May 20, 04:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $145.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 03:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 04:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".