Strict-Nonbeliever
0xd399ba186f89721f79e0a72bfa6c9babd2e13f46
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$16.9K
Total PnL
$7.6K
Realised
$6.7K
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2886933 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.2K
$1.4K
- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1051962 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.7K
$-274.56
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1699 shares @ 92.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.5K
$-40.56
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1628 shares @ 66.1¢·now 62.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.0K
$-67.42
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
952 shares @ 83.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$814.18
$22.08
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71158 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$676.01
$-9.96
- YES
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$600.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
521 shares @ 67.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$356.65
$4.43
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32649 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$342.81
$23.74
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 31.3¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$315.52
$2.33
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.81May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.85May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.09May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.84May 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.15May 18, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.19May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.21May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.47May 18, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00May 18, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.06May 18, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.30May 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.81May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.41May 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.52May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.93May 18, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.83May 18, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.06May 18, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.52May 18, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.83May 18, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.75May 18, 02:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".