0xd3fe197026e196e3d5a8f7e3e84fdd0d55fc6800
0xd3fe197026e196e3d5a8f7e3e84fdd0d55fc6800
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$47.02
Total PnL
$-217.79
Realised
$-13.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
20 shares @ 98.1¢·now 78.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$15.91
$-4.09
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.77
$-3.23
- NO
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$6.67
$-3.33
- YES
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$5.96
$-4.04
- NO
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?
12 shares @ 83.3¢·now 28.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.41
$-6.59
- NO
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 78.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.15
$-12.36
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
13 shares @ 76.2¢·now 23.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.07
$-6.93
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.08
$-7.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 3?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?
165 shares @ 87.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-144.81
Recent activity
- REDEEMDid a crypto hedge fund blow up?$0.00May 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$8.09May 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$4.98May 18, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$3.14May 18, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$1.28May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$1.21May 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$0.65May 18, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$10.00May 18, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin McNeal be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?$10.01May 18, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$4.94May 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$3.29May 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$10.07May 17, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?$0.94May 17, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$0.00May 17, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?$0.07May 17, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?$0.07May 17, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?$0.07May 17, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?$0.07May 17, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?$0.07May 17, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?$0.07May 17, 08:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 23:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".