Vibrant-Fertilizer
0xd401510ac5859229af76aa19fca329fc7ae53fa5
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$26.57
Total PnL
$-20.71
Realised
$4.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.87
$-0.14
- YES
Will Trump say "Gold" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.58
$0.63
- YES
Will Trump say "Oil" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.23
$-0.23
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
10 shares @ 20.4¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.81
$-0.19
- YES
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.09
$-0.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
55 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
10 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
10 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oil" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$2.45May 20, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gold" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$2.00May 20, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$20.23May 20, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$2.00May 20, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Labour" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.67May 20, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$0.00May 20, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.78May 20, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.04May 20, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.05May 20, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$3.50May 20, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$2.48May 20, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$0.31May 20, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$0.44May 20, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$2.95May 20, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$0.75May 20, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.45May 20, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Honorable" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$19.74May 20, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.12May 20, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.10May 20, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$2.75May 20, 10:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 21:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".