Official-Barley
0xd4140031e313f8d850740a80d2ee6653c925a4db
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$80.5K
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$16.3K
Win rate
66%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
30000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.1K
$4.1K
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
15174 shares @ 91.4¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.1K
$214.51
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
30000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.9K
$-4.1K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
12967 shares @ 70.9¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.0K
$-181.31
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
6921 shares @ 72.9¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$5.3K
$248.13
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
12944 shares @ 34.9¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.3K
$-1.2K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3296 shares @ 76.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.1K
$611.56
- NO
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
3328 shares @ 13.7¢·now 53.8¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.8K
$1.3K
- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
1843 shares @ 83.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$1.7K
$135.09
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1721 shares @ 69.2¢·now 70.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$17.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$0.32May 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$0.08May 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$30.70May 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$7.56May 18, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$1.33May 18, 03:22 UTC
- SPLITWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$30.0KMay 18, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$30.00May 18, 02:27 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$20.0KMay 18, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?$100.00May 18, 02:09 UTC
- CONVERSIONLowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?$100.00May 18, 02:09 UTC
- SPLITWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 17?$100.00May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$1.05May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$15.00May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 17?$0.99May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$10.00May 18, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 17?$0.01May 18, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$3.00May 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$10.00May 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$24.00May 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$10.00May 18, 01:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $647.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 21:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".