Decimal-Covariate
0xd416d3309f75426c82a5158cdcb209780af2d9e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$563.42
Realised
$317.77
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Comey smile in his mugshot?
1641 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.6K
$18.38
- NO
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
1251 shares @ 66.8¢·now 90.8¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.1K
$300.44
- NO
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
3333 shares @ 11.1¢·now 8.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$266.64
$-104.85
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
416 shares @ 34.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$201.90
$60.36
- NO
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
249 shares @ 72.5¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.23
$4.91
- YES
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
509 shares @ 29.7¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$147.56
$-3.76
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2300 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$103.50
$-34.50
- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
180 shares @ 46.4¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.30
$19.86
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
115 shares @ 79.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$97.40
$6.22
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
92 shares @ 56.2¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.32
$13.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$9.54May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?$0.94May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$1.59May 18, 05:46 UTC
- MERGEWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$307.31May 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$257.94May 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$8.75May 18, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$16.80May 18, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$106.61May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$449.06May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$14.00May 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$37.32May 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$147.70May 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$173.53May 18, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$89.52May 18, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$115.37May 18, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$358.97May 18, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$61.50May 18, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$6.90May 18, 02:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.50May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$26.99May 18, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $90.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 06:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".