Responsible-Jade
0xd43e13de66901724aaa82c2b31ca98cda18a49c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$799.44
Total PnL
$-16.26
Realised
$-15.92
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?
300 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$297.58
$1.04
- NO
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
223 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$220.43
$2.79
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
1176 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$38.82
$-2.11
- YES
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
40 shares @ 64.5¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$28.96
$3.21
- YES
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
31 shares @ 84.9¢·now 79.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$24.47
$-1.82
- NO
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
22 shares @ 53.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$17.83
$5.90
- YES
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
724 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$17.73
$-0.92
- NO
Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
13 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$12.78
$-0.01
- YES
Will Latonya Reeves be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
68 shares @ 14.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$10.59
$1.05
- NO
Will Republican Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.74
$-0.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?$2.61May 17, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.95May 17, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?$1.09May 16, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$1.10May 16, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$0.94May 16, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$1.81May 16, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$0.94May 16, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$0.89May 16, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?$0.00May 16, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?$0.18May 16, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?$1.10May 16, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?$1.55May 16, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.09May 16, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.09May 15, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.09May 15, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.09May 15, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.09May 15, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christina Bohannan be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?$0.60May 15, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.09May 15, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?$8.81May 15, 19:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".